Date: 2025-12-18 05:03 am (UTC)
dmm: (0)
From: [personal profile] dmm
What's there:

a sequence of posts revisiting my non-anthropocentric approach to AI existential safety and my thinking about invariant properties of self-modifying systems

a sequence about AI timelines (no one knows, but the "mode" of my forecast is very aggressive, or, at least, I have a model aiming for early next year for various key events; we'll soon be able to see if that model is any good; I don't know how much I believe that model myself; its first prediction is for January (achieving "trustworthy autonomy" before the end of January), so in 6 weeks from now we'll have some preliminary idea)

a sequence about sparsity in AI models

and tons of other material including the new Ilya interview on Dwarkesh

it's interesting material, I think, but the writing is of "sketch quality" (due to being done under external pressure to write)

(the only thing that was popular with other people was "getting excused from a jury duty" (post #25))
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