CoVID vs Flu: clustering (superspreading)
Oct. 1st, 2020 03:26 am![[personal profile]](https://www.dreamwidth.org/img/silk/identity/user.png){kind=small}
dmmThere is a new overview of CoVID clustering/overdispersion/superspreading:
www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2020/09/k-overlooked-variable-driving-pandemic/616548/
The bottom line is: CoVID has much higher non-uniformity/clustering/superspreading than flu. This partially explains why things happen so differently and unpredictably.
Most countries are mismanaging it by trying to handle it like a flu epidemics (whereas even the optimal contact tracing strategy is quite different: for a highly clustered disease like CoVID we need to figure out not whom this infected person might have exposed, but where this infected person got it from - we need to do contact tracing backwards, not forward).
See also www.sciencemag.org/news/2020/05/why-do-some-covid-19-patients-infect-many-others-whereas-most-don-t-spread-virus-all
www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2020/09/k-overlooked-variable-driving-pandemic/616548/
The bottom line is: CoVID has much higher non-uniformity/clustering/superspreading than flu. This partially explains why things happen so differently and unpredictably.
Most countries are mismanaging it by trying to handle it like a flu epidemics (whereas even the optimal contact tracing strategy is quite different: for a highly clustered disease like CoVID we need to figure out not whom this infected person might have exposed, but where this infected person got it from - we need to do contact tracing backwards, not forward).
See also www.sciencemag.org/news/2020/05/why-do-some-covid-19-patients-infect-many-others-whereas-most-don-t-spread-virus-all
no subject
Date: 2020-10-13 05:46 pm (UTC)> объясняют одну из основных целей убийства.
Буквально сегодня обнаружил, досье Харольда Вейсберга:
http://jfk.hood.edu/Collection/Weisberg%20Subject%20Index%20Files/T%20Disk/Thornley%20Kerry%20Wendell%20Testimony/
http://jfk.hood.edu/Collection/Weisberg%20Subject%20Index%20Files/T%20Disk/Thornley%20Kerry%20Wendell%20Pictures/
http://jfk.hood.edu/Collection/Weisberg%20Subject%20Index%20Files/T%20Disk/Thornley%20Kerry%20Wendell%20Letters/
http://jfk.hood.edu/Collection/Weisberg%20Subject%20Index%20Files/T%20Disk/Thornley%20Kerry%20Wendell%20CDs/
http://jfk.hood.edu/Collection/Weisberg%20Subject%20Index%20Files/T%20Disk/Thornley%20Kerry%20Wendell%20--%20Lifton%20David/
http://jfk.hood.edu/Collection/Weisberg%20Subject%20Index%20Files/T%20Disk/Thornley%20Kerry%201976%20Affidavit/
И на Ховарда Ханта кое-что имеется:
http://jfk.hood.edu/Collection/Weisberg%20Subject%20Index%20Files/H%20Disk/Hunt%20E%20Howard/
http://jfk.hood.edu/Collection/Weisberg%20Subject%20Index%20Files/H%20Disk/Hunt%20E%20Howard%20CIA%20Records%20of/
http://jfk.hood.edu/Collection/Weisberg%20Subject%20Index%20Files/H%20Disk/Hunt%20E%20Howard%20Testimony%20Before%20Grand%20Jury/
И кое-что задокументировано про его жену:
http://jfk.hood.edu/Collection/Weisberg%20Subject%20Index%20Files/H%20Disk/Hunt%20Dorothy%20Louise/
Это не про ту жену, которая заявила что предсмертные признания - способ заработать, а про первую, которая погибла в авиакатастрофе с чемоданом денег:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_Airlines_Flight_553#Conspiracy_theories
upd:
И вот заодно упомянутый тред реддита:
https://www.reddit.com/r/discordian/comments/e2vn5w/boomtime_40_aftermath_remembering_the_life_and/f8xwx5z/?utm_source=reddit&utm_medium=web2x&context=3
Где человек утверждавший, что знал лично Омара, заявлял:
"Sondra made Kerry write this "confession"...What I'm implying is that Sondra tried make a buck and publicity from a basically fake "confession""