Китайский новый год начнётся 10-го февраля

[dmm]

И это будет год "только что родившегося, растущего дракона"; а уходящий год - год "умирающего, уходящего кролика".

И тут-то, я чувствую, "всё" и начнётся; всё указывает на предстоящий "год критических потрясений", год, когда мир изменится радикально...

Хорошо бы нам его успешно пережить и войти в новую фазу...

Comments

[dmm]

"Narrow AI" is likely this year (AGI-level artificial software engineer and mathematician capable of doing AI research on par with best humans).

Sam Altman says: "We are now confident we know how to build [narrow] AGI as we have traditionally understood it."

NVidia promises a revolutionary new laptop for $3000 or so: https://nvidianews.nvidia.com/news/nvidia-puts-grace-blackwell-on-every-desk-and-at-every-ai-developers-fingertips

Project Digits, a $3,000 personal computer powered by the Nvidia GB10 Grace Blackwell Superchip, includes a Blackwell GPU with 1 Petaflop AI compute and a Grace CPU with 256GB of high-bandwidth unified memory, claimed to be capable of running 200B-Parameter Models.

[dmm]

The next Chinese New Year is 29 January 2025, and on Jan 30 Sam Altman is allegedly doing this:

https://www.axios.com/2025/01/19/ai-superagent-openai-meta

"We've learned that OpenAI CEO Sam Altman — who in September dubbed this "The Intelligence Age," and is in Washington this weekend for the inauguration — has scheduled a closed-door briefing for U.S. government officials in Washington on Jan. 30."

[dmm]

DeepSeek-V3/R1 and associated events

[dmm]

And they gave people a technology allowing to convert any LLM into a reasoning model.

And Hugging Face started Open-R1 to reproduce the intricacies of their super-efficient training publicly.

Anyway, the Year of Dragon is over. The new year is the Year of Snake, and we are going to have an inflection in our AI takeoff this year.

o1 is a reasoning GPT2, o3 is a reasoning GPT3, o4 will be drastic (or even a good fine-tune of o3).

"Narrow AGI" this year: https://dmm.dreamwidth.org/87956.html